RUSSIA AND THE CYPRUS GAMBIT
By Robert
Ellis via Defense News
RUSSIA’S
age-old ambition of securing a foothold in the MEDITERRANEAN has been achieved
not only through the establishment of a naval base at Tartus in SYRIA but also
because of its long-standing relationship with CYPRUS.
In
1955 the GREEK Cypriot leader, Archbishop Makarios, attended the Bandung
Conference in INDONESIA, which laid the foundation for the Non-Aligned
Movement.
It
was as the first president of CYPRUS that Makarios six years later took part in
the founding meeting of the NAM in Belgrade. When CYPRUS became independent in
1960, it was with ‘a fettered independence’ that shared power between the GREEK
CYPRIOT majority and the TURKISH CYPRIOT minority and was guaranteed by the UNITED
KINGDOM, GREECE and TURKEY.
The
GREEK CYPRIOT struggle for self-determination began with the EOKA revolt
against BRITAIN in 1955 and the constitution that was imposed on CYPRUS was
seen by both the GREEK CYPRIOTS and the TURKISH CYPRIOTS as an interim measure
before they could achieve their ultimate aims – enosis (union with GREECE) and
taksim (partition). As Christopher Hitchens put it, “both sides circled around
each other like scorpions in a bottle.”
It
was in the name of self-determination that Makarios enlisted the support of the
Non-Aligned Movement and the SOVIET BLOC, which ultimately led to the GREEK junta’s
coup against Makarios and TURKEY’S intervention in 1974. As the GREEK Prime
Minister George Papandreou wrote to President Johnson in June 1964, “If
Natification [NATO membership] of CYPRUS does not occur; the island will
inevitably be transformed into another CUBA”.
In
fact, it was the threat of SOVIET intervention in the event of a TURKISH
invasion in 1964 that brought East and West to the brink of a new CUBA crisis. CYPRUS
also imported SOVIET arms from EGYPT and CZECHSLOVAKIA, and RUSSIAN support has
continued to the present day. The purchase of S-300 missiles in 1997 resulted
in a new confrontation with TURKEY and RUSSIAN hardware can be seen at
Independence Day celebrations.
In
1978 an ANGLO-AMERICAN CANADIAN plan for the reunification of CYPRUS was
initially accepted by both parties but was torpedoed by the CYPRIOT communist
party, AKEL, acting on instructions from Moscow. And in April 2004 Cypriot
Foreign Minister (and now Presidential Commissioner) George Iacovou was sent to
Moscow to secure a RUSSIAN veto of the Security Council resolution in support
of the Annan Plan.
Ironically,
after the GREEK CYPRIOTS rejected the Annan Plan, the best hope for
reunification was the election of AKEL’s general secretary, Demetris
Christofias, as president in 2008. Educated in Moscow and a fluent RUSSIAN speaker,
Christofias shared the same trade-union background as his TURKISH CYPRIOT counterpart,
Mehmet Ali Talat.
However,
talks suffered a major setback when Talat was replaced by Dervis Eroglu, who
insisted on the equal sovereignty of two peoples rather than the single
sovereignty of a federal state.
Last
year the TURKISH CYPRIOT Trade Unions’ Platform organised two mass
demonstrations against TURKISH rule and in a letter to Ban Ki-moon rejected any
proposal based on two separate states but instead stated their will to be the
politically equal co-founder of a UNITED FEDERAL CYPRUS.
Christofias
has announced his intention not to run again in the presidential elections next
February, ostensibly because he has failed to honour his election pledge to
solve the CYPRUS problem.
The
real reason is his catastrophic drop in popularity after the explosion at the
Mari naval base in July last year, which killed 13 people and destroyed a
nearby power station.
In
January 2009, 98 containers of IRANIAN munitions were confiscated from a CYPRIOT-flagged
RUSSIAN freighter bound for SYRIA and stored in an open field at the naval
base.
According
to a leaked report Christofias had assured Bashar al-Assad the cargo would
remain in Cyprus until it could be returned to either SYRIA or IRAN. CYPRUS had
also refused assistance from the US, BRITAIN, FRANCE and GERMANY to dispose of
the munitions and a request by the UN Sanctions Committee to inspect the cargo
was stalled.
There
were mass demonstrations outside the presidential palace and an independent
report found that the President had “failed miserably” to take the necessary
measures. In a similar incident in January a RUSSIAN ship bound for SYRIA put
in at Limassol because of bad weather and was found to carry “dangerous cargo”.
Despite an assurance it would not sail to SYRIA, the ship continued to Tartus
and unloaded 60 tonnes of ammunition.
CYPRUS FUNCTIONS AS AN OFFSHORE FINANCIAL CENTRE FOR RUSSIA,
so
that the island figures as RUSSIA’S largest source of foreign investment. On a
state visit two years ago President Medvedev stated that investment in RUSSIA
through CYPRUS exceeded 50 billion dollars, and in May 2010 alone an estimated
$18.7 billion was paid into local banks from RUSSIAN sources. There are also
over 60,000 RUSSIANS living in Cyprus and 40 percent of property buyers are RUSSIAN.
The
CYPRIOT economy has been heavily hit by exposure to GREEK debt, but a RUSSIAN
loan of €2.5 billion is expected to cover refinancing requirements for 2012.
One CYPRIOT bank may need a bailout by the end of June, which might make it
necessary for the government to apply to the EUROPEAN Financial Stability
Facility for a loan.
RUSSIA
also has a vested interest in the delivery route for the offshore gas finds in CYPRUS
and ISRAEL’S Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZ). Gazprom has put in a bid for the
construction of a gas transmission pipeline in GREECE and both Gazprom and
Novatek have put in a bid in a second licensing round for CYPRUS’ offshore
reserves.
However,
TURKEY has given permission to the TURKISH Petroleum Corporation to drill in
six areas that belong to CYPRUS’ EEZ. RUSSIA has already manifested its
authority by dispatching a battle group to the eastern Mediterranean, and the RUSSIAN
Ambassador to CYPRUS, has stated that Moscow fully supports the sovereign right
of CYPRUS to exploit its natural resources.
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