The betting markets on the AMERICAN
primary elections show an 87% probability that HILLARY CLINTON will head the
Democratic ticket and a 76% probability that DONALD TRUMP will lead the
Republicans.
Between the two, TRUMP is the
pro-ISRAEL candidate. First, his daughter IVANKA is an observant Orthodox Jew
after her conversion and marriage to JARED KUSHNER, the scion of a prominent
family of Jewish philanthropists. Second, and most decisive, TRUMP feels no
obligation to win favor among Muslims, proposing a temporary ban against any
Muslim entering the UNITED STATES.
HILLARY CLINTON, by contrast,
surrounded herself with advisers openly hostile to ISRAEL and pondered covert
funding for PALESTINIAN civil disobedience to pressure the Israeli government.
Rarely have AMERICANS had such a
clear choice between pro-ISRAEL and not-so-pro-ISRAEL candidates. Remarkably,
the neo-conservatives prefer HILLARY CLINTON. That should confuse the
conspiracy theorists. A Google search produces 400,000 hits for the search
terms “neoconservative” and “Zionist.” Yet the leading neo-conservatives say
they won’t vote for TRUMP under any circumstances, and one prominent neocon, ROBERT
KAGAN, has already declared for HILLARY against TRUMP.
BILL KRISTOL, the editor of the
Weekly Standard and head of the Emergency Committee for ISRAEL, has declared
that he would never vote for TRUMP under any circumstances, and so has
long-time Republican official PETER WEHNER. KRISTOL has said that he won’t
support HILLARY, but threatens to mount a third-party effort if TRUMP is
nominated–which would draw Republican votes away from TRUMP and help CLINTON.
TRUMP
AND PUTIN – COMRADES IN ARMS
Remarkably, KRISTOL’S Emergency
Committee for ISRAEL is running a TV ad denouncing TRUMP for “kissing up to
anti - AMERICAN dictators”–an unusual use of funds by an organization founded
to support ISRAEL rather than support particular candidates, and especially
unusual when it is directed against a pro-ISRAEL candidate. TRUMP notoriously
has said that AMERICA could work with RUSSIA’S VLADIMIR PUTIN against terrorists,
and argued that toppling SADDAM HUSSEIN and MUAMMAR QADDAFI benefited the
terrorists. One cannot quite say that TRUMP paints with a broad brush; rather,
he throws the bucket of paint against the wall. But the neo-conservatives’
defining dogma is to undermine dictators and promote democracy.
TRUMP’S view is closer to that of
the ISRAELI consensus. ISRAEL is pragmatic, generally preferring the ARAB
dictatorships to the chaos that replaced them. ISRAEL’S relations with RUSSIA
are complex but generally good, especially in operational matters in SYRIA.
Background
Information: ISRAEL
Geopolitical
Analysis and Monitoring wrote in June 2012: ISRAEL’S INTERESTS
click here to read entire article on subject matter:
……..This
is almost certainly because the ISRAELI Prime Minister would, on balance,
prefer the Assad regime to continue; it is a known quantity and any new regime
could severely destabilize the effective balance-of-power between two uneasy
neighbors’…………
For the most part, TRUMP is
exactly correct. The LIBYAN adventure, backed vociferously by
the neo-conservatives as well as the OBAMA Administration, turned LIBYA into a
Petrie dish for terrorists. Imposing SHIA majority rule in IRAQ under the BUSH
administration turned IRAQ into an IRANIAN satrapy. Overthrowing SADDAM HUSSEIN
as such was not the problem; marginalizing IRAQ’S SUNNIS prepared the ground
for ISIS. RUSSIA has far more to worry about from Islamic terrorism than the UNITED
STATES, and in theory might cooperate with WASHINGTON even while opposing US
interests in other spheres.
At the peak of their influence in
2004, BILL KRISTOL and Washington Post columnist CHARLES KRAUTHAMMER helped
draft GEORGE W. BUSH’S Second Inaugural address, with its vision of global
democracy under AMERICAN tutelage. Since then, everything has gone pear-shaped.
The prominence of DONALD TRUMP as well as Sen. TED CRUZ in part reflects the
Republican Party’s disgust with the neo-conservatives’ ideologically-driven
adventures. The Republican Party has rejected the neo-conservatives, whose
candidate, MARCO RUBIO, has a 15% chance of getting the nomination according to
the IOWA Futures Market vs. 76% for TRUMP. In return, the neo-conservatives
have rejected the Republican Party.
NEO-CONSERVATIVES
THE CULT OF RATIONALISM
ASIAN observers try to understand
AMERICAN politics in rational terms.
When
the chips are down, the neo-conservative movement has nothing to do with AMERICAN
power, or with MIDEAST oil, or with ISRAEL.
It is a cult that believes that
democratic institutions as such are the solution to the world’s problems, and
will continue to believe this no matter how much evidence accumulates to the
contrary. It is a well-defined cult, with a network of academic gurus and a
standard literature, including (but not limited) to the late Prof. LEO STRAUSS.
Like all cults, it bands together to defend its illusions against its enemies,
even if those enemies are friends of ISRAEL. One might call the
neo-conservatives the Cult of Rationalism. That is, they are obsessed by an
irrational faith in rationalism, and will do manifestly irrational things to
defend their obsession from the cruel depredations of the real world. They are
also willing to throw ISRAEL interests under the bus.
Many make no secret of their dislike
for DONALD TRUMP. They object to his demagoguery about immigration. Though this
doesn’t prevent on from conceding that he is right about some things, for
example, the blunders of the neo-conservatives.
CLINTON
CLAN
If CLINTON runs against TRUMP, political observers predict that many US citizens will vote for TRUMP, without a second’s hesitation, and for two reasons. First, as PETER SCHWEIZER reported in his book CLINTON CASH, the CLINTONS are a criminal enterprise, selling AMERICA favor to benefit Third World kleptocrats and their comprador cronies in return for 8-figure donations to the CLINTON Foundation and fat payoffs in speaking fees and other forms.
THE
USA IS FOUNDED ON IDEAS RATHER THAN COMMON LANGUAGE AND ETHNICITY
TRUMP is a sharp-elbowed
businessman who knows how to work the system for political favors, but he’s not
a criminal. Second, TRUMP is more pro-ISRAEL, and that’s a key issue for more AMERICANS
than one might think. ISRAEL is not only AMERICA’S key ally in a dodgy part of
the world, but the cornerstone on which the edifice of the AMERICAN republic
was founded in the first place. In a July 2015 essay for the JEWISH media, the author
asked, “Will ISRAEL Save AMERICA?” The destiny of AMERICANS–the “almost chosen
people” in LINCOLN’S words–is bound up with the destiny of ISRAEL.
ASIAN observers should try to
understand that AMERICANS can be crazy. That they are a nation founded on ideas
rather than common language and ethnicity, and when they get the wrong idea, they
go right off the rails. The decline of AMERICAN power under the BUSH and OBAMA
administrations is not the result of grand historical forces or sociological
trends. It’s the result of ideological silliness on a grand scale.
Adapted by Geopolitical Analysis
and Monitoring from the original article written by David P. GOLDMAN via Asia
Times
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