Saturday 2 August 2014

Argentine case

“Debt restructuring” and the Argentine case by Joseph Stiglitz

The following piece published in The New York Times was written by Joseph E. Stiglitz, winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics and a former chief economist of the World Bank, and currently a professor at Columbia University.
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“The vultures have invoked the rule of law but we should be clear: This is about greed”, says the Nobel Prize
“The vulture funds — the small number of creditors who held out from Argentina's earlier debt restructuring -- had no interest in the country or its people. They picked up their bonds on the cheap, in hopes that by spending enough on litigation, they would eventually find a sympathetic judge who did not understand what was at issue and rule in their favor.
”All investors in sovereign bonds know that there is a risk of default — that's why the bonds can pay a far higher interest rate than U.S. bonds. But anyone buying bonds after a country announces a debt restructuring knows with virtual certainty that they will not be repaid in full without manipulating the legal system.
“The growing complexity of the market makes it harder for developing nations to free themselves of debt, increasing inequality worldwide.
”The vultures have invoked the rule of law but we should be clear: This is about greed. By arguing for an interpretation of the legal principle that all investors be treated the same — totally at odds from that which is traditionally ascribed to it by both economists and market participants — they have undermined the rule of law, and made debt restructuring almost impossible.
”Such restructurings are necessary for the market economy to work. But unfortunately, while we have a system to deal with private bankruptcy, we have no system for sovereign debt restructuring.
The International Monetary Fund proposed that we should have such a global system at the time of Argentina's default in 2001, and the United Nations Commission of Experts, of which I was the chairman, reiterated the call for such a system in 2009. The U.S. government vetoed the initiative. And now, the U.S. courts have made the problems far worse.
In the 1980s, when sovereign debts were mainly held by banks, restructurings could be done relatively smoothly. But with the growth of capital markets, these matters have become more difficult, as we have repeatedly witnessed. And with the growth of credit-default swaps and derivatives, they have become still worse.
The vultures may not even have an economic interest in a successful outcome. They could have insured themselves against a default; they could even make more money in the event of a default than without a default.
Avoiding default, by transferring money from Argentina — where the per capita income is around 14,800 dollars — to some billionaires will just create more inequality. But this is not just a question of fairness. The vultures have imposed enormous harm on global sovereign debt markets and on those countries whose well-being depends on them, especially in the emerging markets and developing countries.
This is not a zero sum game; it is a negative sum game, where the losses to the rest of the world will, in any case, far exceed whatever gains accrue to the vultures.
 

1 comment:

  1. Hi Roy,

    Stiglitz is right on point when he says:

    "All investors in sovereign bonds know that there is a risk of default — that's why the bonds can pay a far higher interest rate than U.S. bonds. But anyone buying bonds after a country announces a debt restructuring knows with virtual certainty that they will not be repaid in full without manipulating the legal system."

    What Elliot, NML Capital and such did was to lobby hard to make the State of New York to drop the Champerty doctrine after the Peru case (under law Sect 489).

    http://alainet.org/active/75763

    Many of those NYS politicians voting to drop this doctrine and thus favoring the vulture funds got afterwards financial support from... Paul Singer's foundations and AFTA (American Task Force Argentina).

    I guess that the American legal system, conceived by the founding fathers to tilt toward the elite, worked marvels when these elites were actually leading the country under a sound mission and vision. Unfortunately, after the economic system started to be exhausted by 1971, these elites became more parasitary and the legal system favoring them degenerated into a corrupt system. The current Griesa-Singer case is an example of such degradation.

    Thanks,

    Andres

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