EX-CIA
CHIEF: ASSAD WIN MAY BE SYRIA'S BEST OPTION
As
Washington condemns Assad's conduct in SYRIAN conflict, former head of US
intelligence says best, yet 'ugly', outcome for SYRIA is Assad's stay in power
Geopolitical Analysis and Monitoring wrote in June 2012: ISRAEL’S INTERESTS
……..This is almost certainly because
the ISRAELI Prime Minister would, on balance, prefer the Assad regime to
continue; it is a known quantity and any new regime could severely destabilize
the effective balance-of-power between two uneasy neighbors’…………
(Read the entire article at:http://geopoliticsrst.blogspot.com.ar/2012/06/syria-feasts-and-rites-of-confusion.html
Via AFP
The
sectarian bloodbath in SYRIA is such a threat to regional security that a
victory for Bashar ASSAD’s regime could the best outcome to hope for, a former
CIA chief said Thursday.
Washington
condemned Assad's conduct of the conflict, threatened air strikes after he was
accused of targeting civilians with chemical weapons and has demanded he step
down. The United States is also supplying millions of dollars in
"non-lethal" aid to some of the rebel groups fighting Assad's rule.
But
Michael Hayden, the retired US Air Force general who until 2009 was head of the
Central Intelligence Agency, said a rebel win was not one of the three possible
outcomes he foresees for the conflict.
"Option
three is Assad wins," Hayden told the annual Jamestown Foundation
conference of terror experts.
Background
Information: ASSAD:
The better option?
In June 2011 we wrote:
January 2013 we wrote:
In February 2013 we wrote:
"And
I must tell you at the moment, as ugly as it sounds, I'm kind of trending
toward option three as the best out of three very, very ugly possible
outcomes," he said.
The
first possible outcome he cited was for ongoing conflict between ever more
extreme Sunni and Shiite factions. The rebel groups are dominated by Sunni
Muslims, while Assad is generally backed by Syria's Alawite, Shiite and
Christian minorities.
And the
second outcome, which Hayden deemed the most likely, was the "dissolution
of SYRIA" and the end of a single state within the borders defined by a
1916 treaty between the FRENCH and BRITISH empires.
"It
means the end of the Sykes-Picot (Agreement), it sets in motion the dissolution
of all the artificial states created after World War I," he said.
Background
Information:
SYKES PICOT AGREEMENT http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sykes%E2%80%93Picot_Agreement
The
British diplomat Mark Sykes and a FRENCH counterpart Francois Georges Picot
divided the Middle East into zones of influence that later served as the
frontiers of independent Arab states.
A
breakdown in the century-old settlement could spread chaos in LEBANON, JORDAN and
IRAQ, Hayden warned.
"I
greatly fear the dissolution of the state. A de facto dissolution of Sykes-Picot,"
Hayden said.
"And
now we have a new ungoverned space, at the crossroads of the
civilization."
Comment by Geopolitical Analysis and Monitoring: Worthwhile to
mention is that the Sykes – Picot agreement created the versatile situation in
the Middle East in the first place.
Promising both, Jews and Arabs the same land, dividing the region into
areas of strategic interests for both, the BRITISH and FRENCH mandate, without
consideration of the ethnic and sectarian diversity the region is exposed too.
Instead of taking a precautious as well as diplomatic approach, Sykes and Picot,
in their ignorance, did exactly the opposite. Subsequently the Middle Eastern
problem was created.
"The
dominant story going on in SYRIA is a Sunni fundamentalist takeover of a
significant part of the Middle East geography, the explosion of the SYRIA state and of the Levant as we know it."
Fighting
erupted in SYRIA in early 2011, when Assad launched a crackdown on
pro-democracy protests and has since evolved into a full-blown civil war that
has claimed an estimated 126,000 lives.
Assad,
backed by IRAN and the LEBANESE Hezbollah militia, is locked in
combat with a diverse group of Sunni rebel factions which are increasingly
dominated by hardline jihadist groups.
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