GERMANY HAS NOT BEEN THAT EAGER TO IMPLEMENT EU SANCTIONS AGAINST
RUSSIA WHICH HAVE PROVED INEFFECTIVE
BERLIN would not harm its own
economic interests for the sake of the US.
GERMANY has been in the forefront
in EUROPE in support of the anti-Russian sanctions but it has been less
diligent in implementing them.
GERMANY backs these ineffectual
measures primarily to humor the U.S. and are rightly unwilling to suffer too
much for them.
For instance, the US suspects DEUTSCHE
BANK of breaching the regime of sanctions while GERMANY’S regulators appear
less interested in the investigation. There also hangs a cloud of silence over a
RUSSIAN company, of which SIEMENS allegedly owns 65 percent, which was contracted
to produce gas turbines for power plants in CRIMEA.
IN REALITY EUROPE WOULD PREFER TO LIFT THE SANCTIONS
Worthwhile to mention is also the
Nord Stream 2 pipeline project which "runs counter to the spirit of the EU
energy rules that seek to diversify the bloc’s fuel sources." GERMAN
CHANCELLOR ANGELA MERKEL has insisted that private companies are involved in
the project and she does not want to interfere. At the same time, GERMANY needs
more natural gas to abandon coal-powered plants and meet its clean energy
goals.
Some EUROPEAN leaders, like ITALIAN
PRIME MINISTER MATTEO RENZI, have called GERMANY’S stance on the sanctions
hypocritical. "Yet the sanctions are a political statement more than
anything else," the article read.
In purely economic terms, they
have contributed to no more than 10 percent of RUSSIA'S economic decline this
year, or about 0.3 percent of gross domestic product. They have curtailed the
ability of RUSSIAN banks and companies to borrow in WESTERN markets, and that
has hindered their expansion, but they ended up paying down their dollar- and
euro-denominated debts, which, given the ruble's shakiness, has only improved
their financial health. There has been no other noticeable effect.
The sanctions were a US idea, and
the administration loved having MERKEL'S support. They helped WASHINGTON and
its allies form a united front against RUSSIA. The benefits have been reaped,
but it is impractical to force GERMAN companies to pay for them.
SANCTIONS ACTIVISM ON THE GOVERNMENT'S PART WOULD HAVE BEEN EXCESSIVE
AND COUNTERPRODUCTIVE.
Thus it can be assumed that in
2016 MERKEL may be forced to move against NORD STREAM 2 to prevent a conflict
with SOUTHERN EUROPEAN nations. However, she is more likely to make sure the
project fully complies with EUROPEAN rules. Thus, ITALY and its neighbors
should resume the talks on the SOUTH STREAM pipeline, instead of taking the
EU's outwardly anti-RUSSIAN policy at face value.
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