FALLING INTO ASSAD'S TRAP?
Executive Summary:
- Could it be that keeping Assad in power is maybe the exact intention of ISRAEL?
- ISRAEL coping with a full scale civil war in SYRIA
- Regime change in SYRIA, full score for ISRAEL?
- Bashar Assad will not respond directly to ISRAEL’S airstrikes in SYRIA,
- From ISRAEL’S perspective, it is far better for the Alawites to maintain power in SYRIA
- Why strike now when it’s a known fact that IRAN transferred missiles to Hezbollah via SYRIA’S smuggling routes for years?
SYRIA has officially announced that
it sees the ISRAELI strike as a declaration of war. It's safe to assume that
Assad will not rush to direct his missile launchers towards ISRAEL. But the
strike will definitely stabilize him in the eyes of his people. At times of an
external crisis, the inclination of a nation – any nation – is to unite around
its existing leader.
When the SYRIAN nation hears from
its leaders about the graveness of the danger approaching the country from the
direction of ISRAEL (which is setting warehouses on fire on its territory),
even the rebels will take a break – and so the ISRAELI warplanes, which went on
a mission beyond enemy lines, could be the ones connecting Assad to the
governing breathing machine and allowing him to survive a bit more.
Comment by Geopolitical Analysis and Monitoring:
COULD IT BE THAT KEEPING ASSAD IN POWER IS MAYBE
THE EXACT INTENTION OF ISRAEL?
Background Information: (June 2012) ISRAEL’S
INTERESTS……….This is almost certainly because the
ISRAELI Prime Minister would, on balance, prefer the Assad regime to continue;
it is a known quantity and any new regime could severely destabilize the
effective balance-of-power between two uneasy neighbors’….. read entire article
at: http://geopoliticsrst.blogspot.com.ar/2012/06/syria-feasts-and-rites-of-confusion.html
Read related topic under:
ISRAEL COPING WITH A FULL SCALE CIVIL WAR IN SYRIA at
REGIME CHANGE IN SYRIA, FULL SCORE FOR ISRAEL?
and
 |
| According to IRANIAN press, ISRAEL struck SYRIAN Army units close to the Presidential palace, implying that above picture showcases this scenario. The Presidential Palace and smoke pillar seen in above picture are at least 5 km apart, thus noway within the close proximity of the Presidential Palace. In fact the smoke emerges most likely from the close proximity of the Army museum. |
ASSAD WILL NOT RESPOND DIRECTLY TO ISRAEL’S AIRSTRIKES
IN SYRIA, for ISRAEL has been indirectly protecting
the SYRIAN regime from falling for the last two years, because for ISRAEL,
Assad is and always has been a known entity, where as a country ruled by Islamic
Jihadist is like opening a Pandora’s box for ISRAEL .Also one should not forget
that ISRAEL and the Alewites have closer ties then one might think.
Background Information: Read related article:
FROM ISRAEL’S PERSPECTIVE, IT IS FAR BETTER FOR
THE ALAWITES TO MAINTAIN POWER IN SYRIA THAN FOR A SUNNI REGIME TO TAKE CONTROL
THERE
at: http://geopoliticsrst.blogspot.com.ar/2012/10/the-alawites-and-israel.html
WHY STRIKE NOW WHEN IT’S A KNOWN FACT THAT IRAN TRANSFERRED MISSILES TO HEZBOLLAH VIA SYRIA’S SMUGGLING ROUTES FOR YEARS?
IRAN regularly transfers missiles
and ammunition to Hezbollah, and the smuggling route crosses SYRIA'S territory.
Why did the ISRAELI government decide now of all times to attack the weapons which
according to foreign reports are not the most dangerous arms to be transferred
over the years from IRAN to Hezbollah?
Just like it marked targets in Gaza
in the past, it appears that ISRAEL is now marking them in SYRIA: Targeted
killings around Damascus. Yet the difference is that Hamas in Gaza doesn't have
an organized army, while Assad has thousands of missiles directed at Tel Aviv.
In the current situation, Assad doesn't have much to lose as his regime is
unstable.
A threatened leader usually acts out
of madness rather than out of reason, and so ISRAEL'S military activities in SYRIA
could easily turn into the match that will ignite the next war, even if that
was not our intention. Within several days we could find ourselves inside mud
which we didn’t plan and have been avoiding throughout the revolutions rising
in the countries surrounding us. With such an explosive situation in SYRIA,
there is no wonder that the UNITED STATES, as well as the rest of the countries
of the free world, have decided to sit idly by and not to intervene for the
time being, to sit and to plan a much more reasonable operation.
Comment by Geopolitical Analysis and Monitoring: In view of above comments we would like to reiterate that ISRAEL
in most likelihood will not be drawn into a war with SYRIA nor will IRAN and SYRIA retaliate with
missile attacks or other conventional war tactics. More likely ISRAEL will face
terrorist attacks on foreign soil. See: http://geopoliticsrst.blogspot.com.ar/2013/04/israel-iran-and-balkans.html
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